BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPACVG

Tampa, FL (TPA) to Cincinnati, OH (CVG) flight delay odds

Historically, 74.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 728 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.3%arrived on time
18.0%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
728scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning9888.8%7.1%0.0%
Late morning7287.5%6.9%0.0%
Afternoon8276.8%11.0%0.0%
Evening35371.4%21.2%1.1%
Night12361.8%28.5%0.8%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday12471.0%19.4%0.8%
Tuesday7173.2%19.7%1.4%
Wednesday6982.6%11.6%0.0%
Thursday11675.9%19.0%0.0%
Friday12580.0%16.8%0.8%
Saturday10679.2%13.2%0.0%
Sunday11761.5%23.9%1.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Frontier Airlines36975.3%17.1%0.3%
Delta Air Lines35973.3%18.9%1.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255957.6%37.3%0.0%
August 20256081.7%15.0%0.0%
September 20255184.3%9.8%0.0%
October 20255275.0%17.3%0.0%
November 20255676.8%10.7%0.0%
December 20256355.6%28.6%0.0%
January 20265280.8%15.4%1.9%
February 20265367.9%18.9%0.0%
March 20268063.8%21.2%5.0%
April 20267280.6%13.9%0.0%
May 20267080.0%17.1%0.0%
June 20266091.7%8.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline26.9%
Late aircraft63.5%
National airspace8.7%
Weather0.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.