BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPABWI

Tampa, FL (TPA) to Baltimore, MD (BWI) flight delay odds

Historically, 78.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,717 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.7%arrived on time
11.8%30+ min late
2.0%cancelled
2,717scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.0 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning80993.1%2.8%1.2%
Late morning51782.8%8.7%1.9%
Afternoon68376.7%13.0%1.6%
Evening56361.6%21.3%3.4%
Night14558.6%29.7%2.8%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday42476.2%10.8%2.8%
Tuesday35781.5%10.4%1.1%
Wednesday34986.0%7.4%0.9%
Thursday40378.7%11.9%1.5%
Friday42081.9%10.0%1.7%
Saturday35279.8%12.2%1.1%
Sunday41268.2%18.9%4.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,31579.0%11.3%1.9%
Frontier Airlines33179.5%12.1%2.1%
Spirit Airlines7163.4%26.8%5.6%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202526160.5%24.5%5.0%
August 202522976.4%14.8%0.4%
September 202520089.5%6.5%0.0%
October 202521581.4%10.2%1.4%
November 202520583.9%6.8%2.0%
December 202521181.5%10.0%0.9%
January 202620684.0%6.3%3.9%
February 202620472.1%9.8%4.9%
March 202626277.5%13.7%3.4%
April 202626683.1%10.9%0.4%
May 202625578.0%13.3%0.4%
June 202620380.3%9.9%1.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline21.4%
Late aircraft48.0%
National airspace26.8%
Weather3.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.