BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
STLSRQ

St. Louis, MO (STL) to Sarasota/Bradenton, FL (SRQ) flight delay odds

Historically, 72.8% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 353 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.8%arrived on time
15.6%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
353scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.6%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning7481.1%9.5%0.0%
Afternoon14869.6%16.2%0.7%
Evening8966.3%21.3%1.1%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday4468.2%15.9%2.3%
Tuesday4477.3%15.9%0.0%
Wednesday4379.1%11.6%0.0%
Thursday4470.5%20.5%0.0%
Friday4367.4%23.3%0.0%
Saturday7972.2%16.5%0.0%
Sunday5675.0%7.1%1.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines35372.8%15.6%0.6%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253873.7%15.8%0.0%
August 20251376.9%15.4%0.0%
September 20258100.0%0.0%0.0%
October 20253066.7%23.3%0.0%
November 20253290.6%6.2%0.0%
December 20253369.7%15.2%0.0%
January 20263281.2%9.4%3.1%
February 20262885.7%7.1%0.0%
March 20263560.0%20.0%2.9%
April 20263473.5%17.6%0.0%
May 20263661.1%19.4%0.0%
June 20263461.8%23.5%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline26.5%
Late aircraft60.3%
National airspace11.1%
Weather2.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.