BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SNAOAK

Santa Ana, CA (SNA) to Oakland, CA (OAK) flight delay odds

Historically, 83.8% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,353 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.8%arrived on time
9.2%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
2,353scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-0.9 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning47597.3%1.1%0.4%
Late morning43287.7%4.6%1.2%
Afternoon74979.6%12.0%0.4%
Evening66876.3%15.0%1.3%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday39885.4%8.0%1.8%
Tuesday28987.9%6.9%0.0%
Wednesday27888.5%6.1%0.4%
Thursday39678.5%13.1%1.5%
Friday40081.8%10.8%1.2%
Saturday21484.6%9.3%0.0%
Sunday37882.5%8.7%0.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,32084.1%9.0%0.8%
Spirit Airlines3363.6%24.2%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521976.7%12.8%1.8%
August 202520684.5%10.2%1.0%
September 202519390.7%5.7%0.5%
October 202519783.8%10.2%0.0%
November 202519882.8%8.1%2.0%
December 202519782.2%10.7%1.0%
January 202616590.3%5.5%0.6%
February 202617287.2%6.4%0.0%
March 202620787.9%7.2%1.4%
April 202619485.6%7.2%0.5%
May 202620185.1%8.5%0.0%
June 202620471.1%16.7%0.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline24.5%
Late aircraft69.7%
National airspace5.1%
Weather0.0%
Security0.7%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.