BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SNA→OAK

Santa Ana, CA (SNA) to Oakland, CA (OAK) flight delay odds

83.8% of 2,353 official scheduled SNA-to-OAK flights arrived on time; 9.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.8%arrived on time
9.2%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
2,353scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-0.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SNA to OAK?

Among qualifying SNA-to-OAK departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 97.3% of 475 flights. Evening was lowest at 76.3% across 668 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning47597.3%1.1%0.4%
Late morning43287.7%4.6%1.2%
Afternoon74979.6%12.0%0.4%
Evening66876.3%15.0%1.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for SNA to OAK?

Among qualifying SNA-to-OAK weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 88.5% of 278 flights. Thursday was lowest at 78.5% across 396 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday39885.4%8.0%1.8%
Tuesday28987.9%6.9%0.0%
Wednesday27888.5%6.1%0.4%
Thursday39678.5%13.1%1.5%
Friday40081.8%10.8%1.2%
Saturday21484.6%9.3%0.0%
Sunday37882.5%8.7%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for SNA to OAK?

Among qualifying SNA-to-OAK airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 84.1% of 2,320 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 63.6% across 33 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,32084.1%9.0%0.8%
Spirit Airlines3363.6%24.2%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for SNA to OAK?

Among qualifying SNA-to-OAK month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.7% of 193 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 71.1% across 204 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521976.7%12.8%1.8%
August 202520684.5%10.2%1.0%
September 202519390.7%5.7%0.5%
October 202519783.8%10.2%0.0%
November 202519882.8%8.1%2.0%
December 202519782.2%10.7%1.0%
January 202616590.3%5.5%0.6%
February 202617287.2%6.4%0.0%
March 202620787.9%7.2%1.4%
April 202619485.6%7.2%0.5%
May 202620185.1%8.5%0.0%
June 202620471.1%16.7%0.5%

What drove SNA to OAK delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SNA-to-OAK delay category, accounting for 69.7% of 17,907 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline24.5%
Late aircraft69.7%
National airspace5.1%
Weather0.0%
Security0.7%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.