BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SNAJFK

Santa Ana, CA (SNA) to New York, NY (JFK) flight delay odds

Historically, 71.0% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 431 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
71.0%arrived on time
18.1%30+ min late
2.1%cancelled
431scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+17.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning10069.0%17.0%1.0%
Afternoon27669.2%20.7%2.2%
Night5583.6%7.3%3.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday6271.0%16.1%1.6%
Tuesday6266.1%22.6%0.0%
Wednesday6068.3%16.7%1.7%
Thursday6078.3%16.7%1.7%
Friday6275.8%12.9%1.6%
Saturday6374.6%15.9%3.2%
Sunday6262.9%25.8%4.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines37669.1%19.7%1.9%
Delta Air Lines5583.6%7.3%3.6%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253145.2%45.2%0.0%
August 20253171.0%19.4%0.0%
September 20253083.3%13.3%0.0%
October 20253164.5%19.4%3.2%
November 20253171.0%19.4%0.0%
December 20253767.6%21.6%2.7%
January 20263669.4%13.9%5.6%
February 20262878.6%10.7%7.1%
March 20263171.0%22.6%0.0%
April 20262982.8%6.9%3.4%
May 20265676.8%12.5%1.8%
June 20266070.0%16.7%1.7%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline48.7%
Late aircraft15.6%
National airspace26.2%
Weather9.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.