BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SMF→LAS

Sacramento, CA (SMF) to Las Vegas, NV (LAS) flight delay odds

79.6% of 4,238 official scheduled SMF-to-LAS flights arrived on time; 12.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.6%arrived on time
12.6%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
4,238scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SMF to LAS?

Among qualifying SMF-to-LAS departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 93.4% of 1,141 flights. Night was lowest at 59.9% across 162 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,14193.4%3.4%0.3%
Late morning61586.8%6.7%0.3%
Afternoon1,39273.4%16.4%0.7%
Evening92870.4%19.8%1.1%
Night16259.9%26.5%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for SMF to LAS?

Among qualifying SMF-to-LAS weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 87.3% of 463 flights. Friday was lowest at 72.1% across 667 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday65377.3%15.5%0.5%
Tuesday56382.9%9.6%0.4%
Wednesday54486.9%7.4%0.2%
Thursday65974.5%15.6%0.5%
Friday66772.1%17.4%1.3%
Saturday46387.3%8.0%0.4%
Sunday68980.0%12.2%0.7%

Which airline was most reliable for SMF to LAS?

Among qualifying SMF-to-LAS airline results, SkyWest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 89.4% of 405 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 75.4% across 211 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines3,43278.4%13.2%0.3%
SkyWest Airlines40589.4%7.4%1.5%
Frontier Airlines21175.4%16.6%1.4%
Spirit Airlines19084.2%8.9%2.1%

Which month was most reliable for SMF to LAS?

Among qualifying SMF-to-LAS month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 86.3% of 277 flights. October 2025 was lowest at 75.1% across 382 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202545277.2%15.5%1.1%
August 202543182.1%11.1%0.2%
September 202540781.3%12.8%0.7%
October 202538275.1%14.7%0.0%
November 202535677.8%12.1%2.2%
December 202535280.4%12.5%0.0%
January 202629282.2%10.3%0.3%
February 202627786.3%9.0%0.0%
March 202631879.9%10.7%0.6%
April 202631279.8%12.8%0.0%
May 202633377.2%14.7%0.6%
June 202632677.3%13.5%0.9%

What drove SMF to LAS delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SMF-to-LAS delay category, accounting for 51.4% of 48,377 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline24.1%
Late aircraft51.4%
National airspace22.0%
Weather2.4%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.