BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SFOTUS

San Francisco, CA (SFO) to Tucson, AZ (TUS) flight delay odds

Historically, 79.4% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 966 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.4%arrived on time
12.7%30+ min late
0.3%cancelled
966scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.7 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning29383.6%9.2%0.0%
Afternoon30173.8%16.3%0.7%
Evening37180.6%12.7%0.3%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14778.9%14.3%0.0%
Tuesday12181.0%10.7%0.8%
Wednesday14178.7%15.6%0.0%
Thursday14577.2%12.4%0.0%
Friday14076.4%15.0%0.0%
Saturday12483.9%8.9%0.8%
Sunday14880.4%11.5%0.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines90379.7%12.5%0.3%
United Airlines6374.6%15.9%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258385.5%8.4%0.0%
August 20257584.0%12.0%0.0%
September 20256083.3%6.7%0.0%
October 20257482.4%12.2%0.0%
November 202512078.3%10.8%0.0%
December 20258973.0%21.3%2.2%
January 20268175.3%14.8%1.2%
February 20267578.7%12.0%0.0%
March 20268085.0%10.0%0.0%
April 20268680.2%10.5%0.0%
May 20268377.1%15.7%0.0%
June 20266070.0%18.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline28.7%
Late aircraft31.1%
National airspace38.0%
Weather1.8%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.