BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SFO→BFL

San Francisco, CA (SFO) to Bakersfield, CA (BFL) flight delay odds

69.5% of 580 official scheduled SFO-to-BFL flights arrived on time; 19.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
69.5%arrived on time
19.0%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
580scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+16.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SFO to BFL?

Among qualifying SFO-to-BFL departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 73.2% of 365 flights. Night was lowest at 63.3% across 215 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning36573.2%18.1%0.0%
Night21563.3%20.5%1.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for SFO to BFL?

Among qualifying SFO-to-BFL weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 77.1% of 83 flights. Monday was lowest at 60.0% across 85 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8560.0%27.1%1.2%
Tuesday8073.8%11.2%1.2%
Wednesday8377.1%18.1%0.0%
Thursday8465.5%25.0%0.0%
Friday8466.7%16.7%0.0%
Saturday8068.8%16.2%2.5%
Sunday8475.0%17.9%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for SFO to BFL?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the SFO-to-BFL airline threshold: 69.5% of 580 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines58069.5%19.0%0.7%

Which month was most reliable for SFO to BFL?

Among qualifying SFO-to-BFL month results, March 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 90.3% of 31 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 46.7% across 60 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256165.6%19.7%0.0%
August 20255784.2%8.8%0.0%
September 20255377.4%11.3%0.0%
October 20256275.8%9.7%0.0%
November 20255979.7%11.9%0.0%
December 20256157.4%29.5%3.3%
January 20263650.0%38.9%5.6%
February 20262867.9%17.9%0.0%
March 20263190.3%9.7%0.0%
April 20263063.3%26.7%0.0%
May 20264278.6%9.5%0.0%
June 20266046.7%36.7%0.0%

What drove SFO to BFL delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SFO-to-BFL delay category, accounting for 33.3% of 11,935 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.3%
Late aircraft33.3%
National airspace25.0%
Weather19.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.