BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SFO→BFL

San Francisco, CA (SFO) to Bakersfield, CA (BFL) flight delay odds

Historically, 69.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 580 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
69.5%arrived on time
19.0%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
580scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+16.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning36573.2%18.1%0.0%
Night21563.3%20.5%1.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8560.0%27.1%1.2%
Tuesday8073.8%11.2%1.2%
Wednesday8377.1%18.1%0.0%
Thursday8465.5%25.0%0.0%
Friday8466.7%16.7%0.0%
Saturday8068.8%16.2%2.5%
Sunday8475.0%17.9%0.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines58069.5%19.0%0.7%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256165.6%19.7%0.0%
August 20255784.2%8.8%0.0%
September 20255377.4%11.3%0.0%
October 20256275.8%9.7%0.0%
November 20255979.7%11.9%0.0%
December 20256157.4%29.5%3.3%
January 20263650.0%38.9%5.6%
February 20262867.9%17.9%0.0%
March 20263190.3%9.7%0.0%
April 20263063.3%26.7%0.0%
May 20264278.6%9.5%0.0%
June 20266046.7%36.7%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline22.3%
Late aircraft33.3%
National airspace25.0%
Weather19.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.