BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SEA→ORD

Seattle, WA (SEA) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

73.4% of 5,566 official scheduled SEA-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 16.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.4%arrived on time
16.1%30+ min late
1.3%cancelled
5,566scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.9%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SEA to ORD?

Among qualifying SEA-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 83.5% of 1,432 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 62.5% across 1,227 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,43283.5%9.1%0.9%
Late morning1,18567.3%19.1%1.3%
Afternoon1,22762.5%23.2%1.1%
Evening80875.4%16.1%1.0%
Night91478.0%13.7%2.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for SEA to ORD?

Among qualifying SEA-to-ORD weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.6% of 809 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.2% across 812 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday82569.8%19.2%1.9%
Tuesday80981.6%11.2%0.4%
Wednesday78076.5%14.5%1.4%
Thursday81672.2%16.5%1.3%
Friday81471.0%17.4%1.1%
Saturday71075.6%14.2%1.0%
Sunday81267.2%19.2%1.7%

Which airline was most reliable for SEA to ORD?

Among qualifying SEA-to-ORD airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 78.6% of 1,534 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 69.0% across 1,336 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Alaska Airlines1,79471.0%16.5%1.1%
United Airlines1,53478.6%13.6%0.9%
American Airlines1,33669.0%19.5%2.0%
Delta Air Lines90275.5%14.5%1.2%

Which month was most reliable for SEA to ORD?

Among qualifying SEA-to-ORD month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 91.3% of 300 flights. August 2025 was lowest at 58.9% across 599 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202562363.6%21.3%1.3%
August 202559958.9%24.5%1.7%
September 202550979.6%8.4%0.0%
October 202549680.2%11.3%0.6%
November 202539071.3%20.0%3.3%
December 202538268.8%20.2%1.8%
January 202630172.1%19.6%1.0%
February 202630091.3%3.7%0.7%
March 202635776.5%15.7%2.8%
April 202646577.8%13.3%1.1%
May 202656280.6%10.9%0.0%
June 202658270.6%19.4%1.7%

What drove SEA to ORD delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded SEA-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 34.0% of 100,152 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline34.0%
Late aircraft30.8%
National airspace32.7%
Weather2.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.