BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SEA→MSP

Seattle, WA (SEA) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

84.5% of 2,689 official scheduled SEA-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 7.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
84.5%arrived on time
7.4%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
2,689scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-1.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SEA to MSP?

Among qualifying SEA-to-MSP departure window results, Night had the highest on-time rate: 91.4% of 268 flights. Evening was lowest at 77.7% across 466 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning85088.6%4.6%1.2%
Late morning43683.9%6.9%0.5%
Afternoon66981.8%9.3%0.6%
Evening46677.7%12.2%1.3%
Night26891.4%4.1%0.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for SEA to MSP?

Among qualifying SEA-to-MSP weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 89.2% of 371 flights. Sunday was lowest at 80.5% across 400 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday40285.1%7.0%0.5%
Tuesday37986.3%7.9%0.3%
Wednesday37189.2%6.2%0.0%
Thursday40086.0%7.2%0.5%
Friday39982.7%6.5%1.8%
Saturday33882.0%10.4%0.9%
Sunday40080.5%7.0%2.2%

Which airline was most reliable for SEA to MSP?

Among qualifying SEA-to-MSP airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 87.6% of 1,736 flights. Alaska Airlines was lowest at 78.9% across 953 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,73687.6%6.6%0.8%
Alaska Airlines95378.9%8.9%1.0%

Which month was most reliable for SEA to MSP?

Among qualifying SEA-to-MSP month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 91.6% of 225 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 74.9% across 295 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202529574.9%12.9%0.7%
August 202529176.6%12.4%0.3%
September 202526485.6%4.5%0.4%
October 202523090.0%3.9%1.3%
November 202520287.6%7.9%1.0%
December 202520880.3%11.1%0.5%
January 202616889.3%4.2%0.6%
February 202615888.0%6.3%0.0%
March 202619984.9%5.0%5.0%
April 202619889.9%4.0%0.5%
May 202622591.6%4.0%0.9%
June 202625183.7%8.4%0.0%

What drove SEA to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded SEA-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 47.5% of 21,248 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline47.5%
Late aircraft30.8%
National airspace17.9%
Weather3.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.