BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SEA→FAT

Seattle, WA (SEA) to Fresno, CA (FAT) flight delay odds

82.0% of 965 official scheduled SEA-to-FAT flights arrived on time; 9.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.0%arrived on time
9.4%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
965scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SEA to FAT?

Among qualifying SEA-to-FAT departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.6% of 85 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 79.9% across 259 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning8590.6%3.5%0.0%
Late morning21681.5%7.4%0.0%
Afternoon25979.9%12.0%1.9%
Evening40581.7%10.1%1.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for SEA to FAT?

Among qualifying SEA-to-FAT weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 84.7% of 144 flights. Monday was lowest at 79.0% across 143 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14379.0%11.9%0.7%
Tuesday13781.0%11.7%0.7%
Wednesday13284.1%9.8%0.0%
Thursday14484.7%8.3%0.0%
Friday14481.9%5.6%3.5%
Saturday12283.6%9.0%0.8%
Sunday14379.7%9.8%0.7%

Which airline was most reliable for SEA to FAT?

Among qualifying SEA-to-FAT airline results, SkyWest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 83.0% of 588 flights. Alaska Airlines was lowest at 80.4% across 377 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines58883.0%8.3%0.7%
Alaska Airlines37780.4%11.1%1.3%

Which month was most reliable for SEA to FAT?

Among qualifying SEA-to-FAT month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 88.3% of 60 flights. January 2026 was lowest at 74.1% across 58 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512378.0%8.9%0.8%
August 202511879.7%10.2%0.8%
September 202510786.9%5.6%0.0%
October 202510186.1%5.9%2.0%
November 20255988.1%6.8%0.0%
December 20256274.2%17.7%0.0%
January 20265874.1%10.3%3.4%
February 20265284.6%13.5%0.0%
March 20266076.7%11.7%5.0%
April 20266088.3%3.3%0.0%
May 20268181.5%12.3%0.0%
June 20268484.5%10.7%0.0%

What drove SEA to FAT delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SEA-to-FAT delay category, accounting for 44.6% of 8,158 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline32.7%
Late aircraft44.6%
National airspace16.4%
Weather6.0%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.