BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SEAFAT

Seattle, WA (SEA) to Fresno, CA (FAT) flight delay odds

Historically, 82.0% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 965 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.0%arrived on time
9.4%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
965scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning8590.6%3.5%0.0%
Late morning21681.5%7.4%0.0%
Afternoon25979.9%12.0%1.9%
Evening40581.7%10.1%1.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14379.0%11.9%0.7%
Tuesday13781.0%11.7%0.7%
Wednesday13284.1%9.8%0.0%
Thursday14484.7%8.3%0.0%
Friday14481.9%5.6%3.5%
Saturday12283.6%9.0%0.8%
Sunday14379.7%9.8%0.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines58883.0%8.3%0.7%
Alaska Airlines37780.4%11.1%1.3%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512378.0%8.9%0.8%
August 202511879.7%10.2%0.8%
September 202510786.9%5.6%0.0%
October 202510186.1%5.9%2.0%
November 20255988.1%6.8%0.0%
December 20256274.2%17.7%0.0%
January 20265874.1%10.3%3.4%
February 20265284.6%13.5%0.0%
March 20266076.7%11.7%5.0%
April 20266088.3%3.3%0.0%
May 20268181.5%12.3%0.0%
June 20268484.5%10.7%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline32.7%
Late aircraft44.6%
National airspace16.4%
Weather6.0%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.