BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SATMSP

San Antonio, TX (SAT) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

Historically, 83.9% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 892 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.9%arrived on time
9.2%30+ min late
1.3%cancelled
892scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.4 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36591.5%4.4%2.5%
Afternoon34676.6%15.0%0.6%
Evening18182.3%7.7%0.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday13580.7%12.6%2.2%
Tuesday13684.6%11.0%2.2%
Wednesday13485.8%8.2%0.7%
Thursday13386.5%9.0%0.0%
Friday13284.1%6.8%0.8%
Saturday9189.0%4.4%0.0%
Sunday13177.9%10.7%3.1%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines89283.9%9.2%1.3%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258581.2%14.1%1.2%
August 20258377.1%12.0%1.2%
September 20257780.5%13.0%0.0%
October 20258495.2%4.8%0.0%
November 20257684.2%5.3%1.3%
December 20257879.5%11.5%3.8%
January 20265782.5%10.5%1.8%
February 20265086.0%4.0%0.0%
March 20265879.3%12.1%3.4%
April 20267485.1%9.5%1.4%
May 20268790.8%6.9%0.0%
June 20268383.1%6.0%2.4%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline48.4%
Late aircraft35.4%
National airspace12.0%
Weather4.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.