BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SATELP

San Antonio, TX (SAT) to El Paso, TX (ELP) flight delay odds

Historically, 79.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 765 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.5%arrived on time
11.1%30+ min late
0.1%cancelled
765scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning21496.7%1.9%0.0%
Late morning6895.6%1.5%0.0%
Afternoon25780.2%11.7%0.0%
Evening19860.6%21.2%0.5%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday11974.8%15.1%0.0%
Tuesday10591.4%2.9%0.0%
Wednesday10190.1%4.0%1.0%
Thursday11772.6%10.3%0.0%
Friday12074.2%18.3%0.0%
Saturday7882.1%10.3%0.0%
Sunday12575.2%14.4%0.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines76579.5%11.1%0.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258475.0%13.1%0.0%
August 20257380.8%13.7%0.0%
September 20257380.8%8.2%0.0%
October 20257584.0%6.7%0.0%
November 20257684.2%11.8%0.0%
December 20257780.5%15.6%0.0%
January 20264077.5%10.0%0.0%
February 20262896.4%0.0%0.0%
March 20265485.2%3.7%0.0%
April 20265976.3%11.9%0.0%
May 20266277.4%12.9%0.0%
June 20266464.1%17.2%1.6%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline22.5%
Late aircraft72.5%
National airspace3.7%
Weather0.5%
Security0.8%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.