BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SAN→ORD

San Diego, CA (SAN) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

76.2% of 3,807 official scheduled SAN-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 14.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.2%arrived on time
14.0%30+ min late
1.3%cancelled
3,807scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SAN to ORD?

Among qualifying SAN-to-ORD departure window results, Night had the highest on-time rate: 93.4% of 484 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 63.4% across 1,335 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,01382.7%9.4%1.8%
Late morning53679.9%11.2%0.7%
Afternoon1,33563.4%22.5%1.3%
Evening43976.5%14.4%1.4%
Night48493.4%3.1%1.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for SAN to ORD?

Among qualifying SAN-to-ORD weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 82.9% of 533 flights. Sunday was lowest at 70.6% across 571 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday56673.5%15.2%1.8%
Tuesday53382.9%9.8%0.6%
Wednesday51677.7%13.2%1.6%
Thursday56175.9%12.8%0.9%
Friday56175.4%16.9%0.7%
Saturday49978.0%14.4%1.8%
Sunday57170.6%15.4%2.1%

Which airline was most reliable for SAN to ORD?

Among qualifying SAN-to-ORD airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 80.7% of 1,672 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 37.7% across 61 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,67280.7%10.6%0.5%
American Airlines1,38675.0%15.2%1.8%
Alaska Airlines68870.8%16.7%2.3%
Frontier Airlines6137.7%50.8%1.6%

Which month was most reliable for SAN to ORD?

Among qualifying SAN-to-ORD month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 85.5% of 242 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 69.6% across 336 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202533669.6%19.9%1.5%
August 202532070.3%18.4%0.9%
September 202526982.5%11.2%0.4%
October 202535782.1%9.0%1.1%
November 202531871.1%16.7%3.8%
December 202530975.4%14.9%2.3%
January 202624775.7%14.2%1.2%
February 202624285.5%7.4%0.0%
March 202633270.5%16.3%2.7%
April 202633377.5%14.7%0.3%
May 202636482.4%7.4%0.5%
June 202638073.9%16.6%1.1%

What drove SAN to ORD delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SAN-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 36.3% of 66,175 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline25.5%
Late aircraft36.3%
National airspace32.6%
Weather5.7%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.