BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
RDU→SFO

Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) to San Francisco, CA (SFO) flight delay odds

80.0% of 895 official scheduled RDU-to-SFO flights arrived on time; 10.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
80.0%arrived on time
10.8%30+ min late
0.2%cancelled
895scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for RDU to SFO?

Among qualifying RDU-to-SFO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.4% of 420 flights. Evening was lowest at 68.8% across 298 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning42087.4%4.3%0.2%
Late morning12780.3%12.6%0.0%
Afternoon5084.0%8.0%0.0%
Evening29868.8%19.8%0.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for RDU to SFO?

Among qualifying RDU-to-SFO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 89.5% of 105 flights. Thursday was lowest at 74.8% across 139 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14176.6%14.2%0.0%
Tuesday10589.5%4.8%0.0%
Wednesday12080.8%9.2%0.0%
Thursday13974.8%14.4%0.0%
Friday14475.7%13.9%0.0%
Saturday10489.4%5.8%0.0%
Sunday14278.2%10.6%1.4%

Which airline was most reliable for RDU to SFO?

Only United Airlines met the RDU-to-SFO airline threshold: 80.0% of 895 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines89580.0%10.8%0.2%

Which month was most reliable for RDU to SFO?

Among qualifying RDU-to-SFO month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.9% of 77 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 52.6% across 76 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258479.8%11.9%0.0%
August 20258185.2%8.6%0.0%
September 20257790.9%2.6%0.0%
October 20258088.8%3.8%0.0%
November 20258086.2%7.5%0.0%
December 20258880.7%11.4%0.0%
January 20265766.7%14.0%3.5%
February 20264987.8%2.0%0.0%
March 20265286.5%3.8%0.0%
April 20268679.1%11.6%0.0%
May 20268576.5%17.6%0.0%
June 20267652.6%30.3%0.0%

What drove RDU to SFO delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded RDU-to-SFO delay category, accounting for 48.9% of 11,966 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline20.2%
Late aircraft29.0%
National airspace48.9%
Weather1.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.