BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
RDUMCO

Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

Historically, 76.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,702 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.7%arrived on time
14.5%30+ min late
1.9%cancelled
2,702scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning81189.6%5.1%2.6%
Late morning34482.0%10.5%2.3%
Afternoon62074.2%16.0%1.0%
Evening79065.1%23.4%1.4%
Night13765.7%23.4%2.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday40173.1%14.2%2.7%
Tuesday33879.3%13.3%1.8%
Wednesday32882.3%12.5%1.2%
Thursday39978.9%12.5%0.3%
Friday39978.4%13.0%0.8%
Saturday40577.5%14.6%2.2%
Sunday43269.4%20.6%3.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,00579.7%12.5%2.4%
Southwest Airlines84476.9%13.0%1.5%
Frontier Airlines72471.7%20.2%1.8%
Republic Airways12980.6%8.5%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521675.9%16.2%2.8%
August 202521270.8%20.3%1.4%
September 202520487.7%4.4%0.5%
October 202523486.3%8.5%0.0%
November 202520380.8%13.3%3.0%
December 202522670.8%17.3%1.8%
January 202622669.9%15.9%7.1%
February 202623276.3%15.9%0.9%
March 202625969.5%18.5%3.5%
April 202624181.7%11.2%0.4%
May 202622976.0%16.2%0.4%
June 202622076.4%15.9%0.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline28.0%
Late aircraft47.2%
National airspace23.8%
Weather0.6%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.