BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHLORF

Philadelphia, PA (PHL) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

Historically, 71.9% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 825 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
71.9%arrived on time
18.4%30+ min late
3.5%cancelled
825scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late7.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+15.9 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning7181.7%11.3%2.8%
Late morning6988.4%7.2%0.0%
Afternoon15377.8%14.4%2.6%
Evening52066.5%22.1%4.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday12067.5%22.5%3.3%
Tuesday12780.3%12.6%2.4%
Wednesday11576.5%20.0%2.6%
Thursday11869.5%16.1%3.4%
Friday11871.2%19.5%4.2%
Saturday10670.8%16.0%3.8%
Sunday12166.9%22.3%5.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines77871.1%19.0%3.7%
Republic Airways4785.1%8.5%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258952.8%29.2%12.4%
August 20256675.8%21.2%0.0%
September 202510181.2%9.9%0.0%
October 20259582.1%11.6%0.0%
November 20257873.1%15.4%2.6%
December 20255261.5%28.8%1.9%
January 20265273.1%13.5%11.5%
February 20263959.0%28.2%5.1%
March 20263663.9%19.4%8.3%
April 20265475.9%16.7%0.0%
May 20267382.2%15.1%1.4%
June 20269068.9%21.1%3.3%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline31.1%
Late aircraft50.6%
National airspace9.2%
Weather9.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.