BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→SBN

Chicago, IL (ORD) to South Bend, IN (SBN) flight delay odds

59.9% of 2,704 official scheduled ORD-to-SBN flights arrived on time; 25.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
59.9%arrived on time
25.7%30+ min late
4.3%cancelled
2,704scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late15.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late7.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+27.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to SBN?

Among qualifying ORD-to-SBN departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 68.7% of 134 flights. Evening was lowest at 51.6% across 717 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning13468.7%16.4%3.0%
Late morning50565.3%21.8%2.4%
Afternoon98760.9%25.2%4.3%
Evening71751.6%32.8%4.9%
Night36162.9%22.2%6.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to SBN?

Among qualifying ORD-to-SBN weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 65.9% of 393 flights. Sunday was lowest at 53.5% across 396 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday39255.4%24.5%7.4%
Tuesday39365.9%22.1%2.5%
Wednesday38561.0%24.4%4.9%
Thursday38362.7%21.9%3.9%
Friday38361.6%26.4%3.7%
Saturday37259.4%28.0%3.2%
Sunday39653.5%32.8%4.0%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to SBN?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the ORD-to-SBN airline threshold: 59.8% of 2,692 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines2,69259.8%25.8%4.3%
United Airlines1090.0%10.0%0.0%
Republic Airways2100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to SBN?

Among qualifying ORD-to-SBN month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 78.0% of 241 flights. April 2026 was lowest at 48.3% across 236 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202518448.9%38.0%2.2%
August 202518662.9%26.3%4.8%
September 202520677.7%14.6%1.0%
October 202524178.0%15.8%0.0%
November 202523160.2%18.6%8.7%
December 202524353.1%37.0%4.9%
January 202624754.3%30.4%5.3%
February 202621960.7%24.2%0.0%
March 202624848.8%29.0%9.3%
April 202623648.3%32.2%6.8%
May 202625364.4%22.9%1.6%
June 202621062.9%20.0%5.7%

What drove ORD to SBN delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-SBN delay category, accounting for 38.2% of 83,853 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline35.3%
Late aircraft38.2%
National airspace19.0%
Weather7.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.