BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→RST

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Rochester, MN (RST) flight delay odds

60.7% of 1,053 official scheduled ORD-to-RST flights arrived on time; 24.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
60.7%arrived on time
24.4%30+ min late
4.5%cancelled
1,053scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late15.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+27.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to RST?

Among qualifying ORD-to-RST departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 73.5% of 287 flights. Night was lowest at 50.8% across 309 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning4669.6%13.0%2.2%
Late morning28773.5%14.6%2.4%
Afternoon37558.1%28.0%2.9%
Night30950.8%30.4%9.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to RST?

Among qualifying ORD-to-RST weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 67.8% of 143 flights. Sunday was lowest at 53.9% across 154 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday15858.9%27.8%4.4%
Tuesday14967.1%21.5%3.4%
Wednesday14367.8%21.0%2.8%
Thursday15356.9%24.2%4.6%
Friday14955.0%30.2%4.0%
Saturday14766.0%19.7%4.1%
Sunday15453.9%26.0%7.8%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to RST?

Among qualifying ORD-to-RST airline results, Envoy Air had the highest on-time rate: 69.3% of 547 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 51.4% across 506 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Envoy Air54769.3%15.4%4.9%
SkyWest Airlines50651.4%34.2%4.0%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to RST?

Among qualifying ORD-to-RST month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 82.8% of 93 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 40.0% across 90 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258951.7%38.2%2.2%
August 20258361.4%25.3%2.4%
September 20257272.2%16.7%1.4%
October 20258755.2%28.7%0.0%
November 20258970.8%16.9%7.9%
December 20259040.0%37.8%8.9%
January 20269154.9%31.9%3.3%
February 20268669.8%22.1%0.0%
March 20269459.6%18.1%10.6%
April 20269061.1%20.0%4.4%
May 20269382.8%8.6%4.3%
June 20268950.6%28.1%6.7%

What drove ORD to RST delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded ORD-to-RST delay category, accounting for 36.0% of 32,822 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline36.0%
Late aircraft21.0%
National airspace12.7%
Weather30.1%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.