BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORDRIC

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Richmond, VA (RIC) flight delay odds

Historically, 67.9% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,219 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
67.9%arrived on time
20.8%30+ min late
2.9%cancelled
2,219scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+17.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning38377.0%14.6%2.3%
Late morning41473.9%17.6%0.7%
Afternoon72069.4%19.2%2.8%
Evening65056.6%28.9%4.3%
Night5273.1%11.5%9.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday33064.2%23.0%4.5%
Tuesday32374.3%14.9%2.2%
Wednesday31269.9%18.9%1.3%
Thursday32269.9%21.1%2.2%
Friday31863.2%25.2%2.5%
Saturday28672.0%16.4%3.1%
Sunday32862.5%25.3%4.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways82775.3%15.6%2.4%
SkyWest Airlines71859.1%27.4%4.3%
Envoy Air37976.8%13.5%2.1%
United Airlines29557.3%28.5%2.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202518153.0%35.4%3.9%
August 202516070.6%17.5%3.8%
September 202518178.5%14.4%0.6%
October 202519869.2%18.2%0.5%
November 202516666.3%20.5%6.0%
December 202514749.0%34.7%2.7%
January 202614859.5%25.7%7.4%
February 202617376.3%14.5%0.0%
March 202621061.9%25.7%4.8%
April 202624371.6%16.9%3.3%
May 202621078.6%13.3%1.0%
June 202620273.3%17.8%2.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline34.3%
Late aircraft34.2%
National airspace15.0%
Weather16.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.