BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORDPVD

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Providence, RI (PVD) flight delay odds

Historically, 66.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,654 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
66.5%arrived on time
22.0%30+ min late
3.0%cancelled
1,654scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+17.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning11080.0%12.7%3.6%
Late morning46480.4%13.1%1.9%
Afternoon37060.8%27.0%4.1%
Evening71058.3%26.6%3.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday24363.0%23.9%5.3%
Tuesday23268.1%22.0%1.3%
Wednesday23468.4%22.2%1.3%
Thursday24073.3%18.3%2.1%
Friday24161.8%21.2%2.1%
Saturday22071.8%16.8%2.7%
Sunday24459.8%29.1%5.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines76863.7%24.5%2.7%
American Airlines43159.6%27.6%2.8%
Envoy Air27480.3%11.3%4.4%
United Airlines11972.3%13.4%0.8%
Republic Airways6277.4%16.1%4.8%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511965.5%26.1%0.8%
August 202511370.8%20.4%1.8%
September 202512462.9%22.6%0.8%
October 202514170.2%18.4%0.0%
November 202514368.5%21.0%4.9%
December 202513354.1%34.6%1.5%
January 202612357.7%27.6%5.7%
February 202612956.6%22.5%9.3%
March 202615565.8%23.2%5.2%
April 202614768.7%19.0%1.4%
May 202618177.3%15.5%0.0%
June 202614674.0%17.1%4.8%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline33.4%
Late aircraft33.7%
National airspace20.1%
Weather12.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.