BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→BUF

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Buffalo, NY (BUF) flight delay odds

68.6% of 2,195 official scheduled ORD-to-BUF flights arrived on time; 20.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.6%arrived on time
20.0%30+ min late
2.6%cancelled
2,195scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+17.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to BUF?

Among qualifying ORD-to-BUF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 85.0% of 494 flights. Night was lowest at 39.1% across 92 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning49485.0%7.7%1.4%
Late morning22869.7%18.4%3.9%
Afternoon69672.8%16.7%3.2%
Evening68555.9%30.8%2.2%
Night9239.1%35.9%5.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to BUF?

Among qualifying ORD-to-BUF weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 72.9% of 317 flights. Sunday was lowest at 59.4% across 315 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday32568.6%19.4%2.8%
Tuesday31772.9%17.7%1.9%
Wednesday31369.0%21.7%1.6%
Thursday32470.7%17.9%2.2%
Friday31768.5%18.9%1.9%
Saturday28471.1%19.0%2.8%
Sunday31559.4%25.7%5.4%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to BUF?

Among qualifying ORD-to-BUF airline results, Envoy Air had the highest on-time rate: 77.5% of 422 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 58.0% across 476 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines61272.9%17.0%1.1%
American Airlines47658.0%30.3%1.3%
Envoy Air42277.5%13.5%2.6%
Republic Airways35570.1%16.1%5.1%
SkyWest Airlines33062.7%23.6%4.8%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to BUF?

Among qualifying ORD-to-BUF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 77.7% of 179 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 58.8% across 182 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521461.7%31.8%0.0%
August 202518373.2%18.0%1.6%
September 202517977.7%12.8%0.6%
October 202518175.7%11.6%0.0%
November 202518969.3%15.9%6.3%
December 202516563.6%23.0%4.8%
January 202616467.1%20.7%5.5%
February 202612770.1%19.7%0.8%
March 202618258.8%28.6%5.5%
April 202618566.5%18.4%3.2%
May 202621770.5%18.0%1.4%
June 202620969.4%20.6%2.4%

What drove ORD to BUF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-BUF delay category, accounting for 48.5% of 49,945 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline27.5%
Late aircraft48.5%
National airspace15.7%
Weather8.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.