BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSY→SFO

New Orleans, LA (MSY) to San Francisco, CA (SFO) flight delay odds

76.4% of 525 official scheduled MSY-to-SFO flights arrived on time; 16.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.4%arrived on time
16.8%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
525scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSY to SFO?

Among qualifying MSY-to-SFO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.7% of 73 flights. Evening was lowest at 62.7% across 204 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning7387.7%8.2%1.4%
Late morning12682.5%11.1%0.8%
Afternoon12286.1%13.1%0.0%
Evening20462.7%25.5%0.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSY to SFO?

Among qualifying MSY-to-SFO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 85.9% of 64 flights. Sunday was lowest at 69.1% across 81 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8172.8%21.0%0.0%
Tuesday6485.9%9.4%0.0%
Wednesday7581.3%16.0%0.0%
Thursday7974.7%21.5%0.0%
Friday8077.5%16.2%1.2%
Saturday6575.4%9.2%3.1%
Sunday8169.1%21.0%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for MSY to SFO?

Only United Airlines met the MSY-to-SFO airline threshold: 76.5% of 524 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines52476.5%16.6%0.6%
American Airlines10.0%100.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSY to SFO?

Among qualifying MSY-to-SFO month results, March 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 94.3% of 35 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 33.3% across 30 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253161.3%19.4%0.0%
August 20253174.2%16.1%3.2%
September 20253688.9%2.8%0.0%
October 20255592.7%3.6%0.0%
November 20255682.1%16.1%0.0%
December 20254379.1%14.0%2.3%
January 20265789.5%8.8%0.0%
February 20265086.0%12.0%0.0%
March 20263594.3%5.7%0.0%
April 20265669.6%21.4%1.8%
May 20264544.4%37.8%0.0%
June 20263033.3%56.7%0.0%

What drove MSY to SFO delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded MSY-to-SFO delay category, accounting for 53.8% of 8,359 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline13.6%
Late aircraft30.0%
National airspace53.8%
Weather2.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.