BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSYPHL

New Orleans, LA (MSY) to Philadelphia, PA (PHL) flight delay odds

Historically, 78.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,117 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
78.1%arrived on time
14.2%30+ min late
3.0%cancelled
1,117scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.7 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning27886.7%8.3%3.6%
Late morning32480.2%13.0%1.5%
Afternoon41973.3%17.7%3.3%
Evening5869.0%15.5%3.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18375.4%13.7%3.8%
Tuesday13081.5%12.3%3.8%
Wednesday13287.9%9.1%1.5%
Thursday17478.7%14.4%1.1%
Friday18078.3%15.6%2.8%
Saturday13577.8%12.6%3.7%
Sunday18370.5%19.7%3.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines62180.2%13.5%1.6%
PSA Airlines29777.1%14.1%5.4%
Frontier Airlines16270.4%19.1%3.1%
Republic Airways3783.8%5.4%5.4%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258667.4%22.1%5.8%
August 20259681.2%12.5%2.1%
September 20258885.2%11.4%0.0%
October 20259776.3%15.5%1.0%
November 20257681.6%13.2%0.0%
December 20258465.5%25.0%4.8%
January 20268767.8%17.2%9.2%
February 20269580.0%7.4%7.4%
March 20269980.8%14.1%4.0%
April 202610687.7%10.4%0.0%
May 202610385.4%9.7%1.0%
June 202610074.0%15.0%1.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline36.3%
Late aircraft50.7%
National airspace6.9%
Weather6.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.