BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSYEWR

New Orleans, LA (MSY) to Newark, NJ (EWR) flight delay odds

Historically, 82.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,213 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
82.1%arrived on time
11.5%30+ min late
2.3%cancelled
1,213scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.4 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning29790.6%3.7%2.4%
Late morning31789.3%5.0%1.6%
Afternoon21174.4%20.4%1.4%
Evening38874.0%18.0%3.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17883.1%9.0%5.1%
Tuesday17186.5%8.2%1.8%
Wednesday16785.0%7.2%0.6%
Thursday18577.3%17.8%1.6%
Friday17584.6%11.4%1.1%
Saturday15484.4%11.0%1.3%
Sunday18374.9%15.3%4.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,01482.5%11.1%1.9%
Republic Airways16085.0%7.5%5.6%
Spirit Airlines3455.9%44.1%0.0%
Frontier Airlines580.0%0.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256560.0%32.3%3.1%
August 20256866.2%27.9%0.0%
September 20257485.1%13.5%0.0%
October 202511569.6%25.2%1.7%
November 202511567.8%17.4%4.3%
December 202512085.8%9.2%0.8%
January 202610988.1%5.5%5.5%
February 202610786.9%2.8%8.4%
March 202612483.1%8.1%1.6%
April 202611995.0%4.2%0.0%
May 202611195.5%0.9%0.9%
June 20268689.5%5.8%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline18.2%
Late aircraft34.3%
National airspace46.6%
Weather0.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.