BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→SRQ

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Sarasota/Bradenton, FL (SRQ) flight delay odds

82.6% of 241 official scheduled MSP-to-SRQ flights arrived on time; 10.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.6%arrived on time
10.0%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
241scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to SRQ?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SRQ departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 85.9% of 191 flights. Early morning was lowest at 70.0% across 50 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning5070.0%14.0%4.0%
Late morning19185.9%8.9%0.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to SRQ?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SRQ weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 90.3% of 31 flights. Saturday was lowest at 72.9% across 59 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday3183.9%9.7%6.5%
Tuesday3190.3%3.2%0.0%
Wednesday3190.3%6.5%0.0%
Friday3083.3%10.0%0.0%
Saturday5972.9%16.9%0.0%
Sunday3080.0%13.3%3.3%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to SRQ?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-SRQ airline threshold: 82.6% of 241 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines24182.6%10.0%1.2%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to SRQ?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SRQ month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 96.2% of 26 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 68.6% across 35 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
October 20252696.2%3.8%0.0%
November 20252989.7%10.3%0.0%
December 20253177.4%16.1%3.2%
January 20263574.3%11.4%0.0%
February 20263284.4%6.2%0.0%
March 20263568.6%14.3%5.7%
April 20263290.6%6.2%0.0%

What drove MSP to SRQ delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-SRQ delay category, accounting for 51.1% of 2,233 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline51.1%
Late aircraft8.8%
National airspace39.1%
Weather1.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.