BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→RST

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Rochester, MN (RST) flight delay odds

83.1% of 278 official scheduled MSP-to-RST flights arrived on time; 11.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.1%arrived on time
11.5%30+ min late
1.4%cancelled
278scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to RST?

Among qualifying MSP-to-RST departure window results, Night had the highest on-time rate: 89.5% of 57 flights. Late morning was lowest at 78.6% across 56 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning5678.6%12.5%1.8%
Afternoon16182.0%13.0%1.2%
Night5789.5%7.0%1.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to RST?

Among qualifying MSP-to-RST weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 87.8% of 41 flights. Thursday was lowest at 76.7% across 43 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday4178.0%17.1%0.0%
Tuesday4187.8%9.8%2.4%
Wednesday4187.8%12.2%0.0%
Thursday4376.7%14.0%0.0%
Friday4584.4%13.3%0.0%
Sunday4178.0%9.8%4.9%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to RST?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the MSP-to-RST airline threshold: 83.1% of 278 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines27883.1%11.5%1.4%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to RST?

Among qualifying MSP-to-RST month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 98.0% of 49 flights. August 2025 was lowest at 58.8% across 17 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
August 20251758.8%29.4%0.0%
September 20254998.0%0.0%0.0%
February 20262781.5%18.5%0.0%
March 20262766.7%25.9%7.4%
May 20267688.2%7.9%1.3%
June 20264190.2%2.4%0.0%

What drove MSP to RST delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-RST delay category, accounting for 54.3% of 4,080 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline54.3%
Late aircraft0.0%
National airspace5.9%
Weather39.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.