BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSPRAP

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Rapid City, SD (RAP) flight delay odds

Historically, 81.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 445 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.6%arrived on time
12.1%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
445scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning13384.2%10.5%0.8%
Afternoon20782.6%12.6%0.5%
Night10476.0%13.5%1.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday6681.8%7.6%0.0%
Tuesday6687.9%9.1%0.0%
Wednesday6379.4%14.3%1.6%
Thursday6779.1%13.4%1.5%
Friday6770.1%17.9%0.0%
Saturday5086.0%12.0%0.0%
Sunday6687.9%10.6%1.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines44581.6%12.1%0.7%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20252688.5%7.7%0.0%
August 20251080.0%20.0%0.0%
September 202518100.0%0.0%0.0%
October 20254100.0%0.0%0.0%
February 20265280.8%9.6%1.9%
March 20264175.6%17.1%2.4%
April 20266581.5%10.8%0.0%
May 202611381.4%14.2%0.9%
June 202611679.3%12.9%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline81.0%
Late aircraft0.0%
National airspace6.7%
Weather12.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.