BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→MSY

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to New Orleans, LA (MSY) flight delay odds

Historically, 84.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 440 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
84.5%arrived on time
7.5%30+ min late
2.0%cancelled
440scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late0.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-2.0 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning6687.9%4.5%3.0%
Afternoon33883.1%8.3%1.8%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday6487.5%3.1%1.6%
Tuesday6298.4%0.0%0.0%
Wednesday6190.2%6.6%0.0%
Thursday6485.9%6.2%0.0%
Friday6479.7%10.9%3.1%
Saturday6168.9%16.4%3.3%
Sunday6481.2%9.4%6.2%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines44084.5%7.5%2.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253174.2%22.6%0.0%
August 20253193.5%0.0%3.2%
September 20253086.7%6.7%0.0%
October 20253190.3%6.5%0.0%
November 20253080.0%3.3%0.0%
December 20253187.1%9.7%0.0%
January 20263187.1%3.2%3.2%
February 20263987.2%7.7%0.0%
March 20265983.1%6.8%5.1%
April 20266086.7%5.0%3.3%
May 20263778.4%10.8%2.7%
June 20263080.0%10.0%3.3%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline54.1%
Late aircraft18.4%
National airspace27.5%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.