BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→MIA

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Miami, FL (MIA) flight delay odds

81.3% of 1,125 official scheduled MSP-to-MIA flights arrived on time; 10.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.3%arrived on time
10.1%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
1,125scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to MIA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-MIA departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.7% of 146 flights. Evening was lowest at 71.4% across 133 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning60585.1%7.1%1.3%
Late morning14687.7%3.4%0.0%
Afternoon24173.4%18.3%0.4%
Evening13371.4%16.5%0.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to MIA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-MIA weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 86.9% of 160 flights. Sunday was lowest at 75.5% across 159 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday15877.8%15.2%1.9%
Tuesday16385.9%8.6%1.2%
Wednesday15684.0%10.3%0.0%
Thursday16086.9%5.0%0.0%
Friday15682.1%9.0%0.0%
Saturday17377.5%9.2%1.2%
Sunday15975.5%13.8%1.9%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to MIA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-MIA airline results, American Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 89.9% of 365 flights. Delta Air Lines was lowest at 77.2% across 760 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines76077.2%12.1%0.8%
American Airlines36589.9%6.0%1.1%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to MIA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-MIA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.0% of 90 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 68.6% across 102 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259276.1%10.9%0.0%
August 20259381.7%7.5%0.0%
September 20259090.0%4.4%0.0%
October 20259287.0%8.7%0.0%
November 20259083.3%11.1%0.0%
December 202510268.6%18.6%2.9%
January 202610173.3%12.9%2.0%
February 20268884.1%10.2%0.0%
March 202610075.0%15.0%5.0%
April 20269483.0%6.4%0.0%
May 20269387.1%7.5%0.0%
June 20269090.0%6.7%0.0%

What drove MSP to MIA delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-MIA delay category, accounting for 38.5% of 12,282 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline38.5%
Late aircraft22.8%
National airspace34.3%
Weather4.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.