BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→LAX

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Los Angeles, CA (LAX) flight delay odds

81.3% of 2,156 official scheduled MSP-to-LAX flights arrived on time; 10.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.3%arrived on time
10.2%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
2,156scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to LAX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-LAX departure window results, Afternoon had the highest on-time rate: 84.9% of 471 flights. Night was lowest at 73.0% across 248 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning39584.1%6.6%0.5%
Late morning67884.4%8.0%0.9%
Afternoon47184.9%7.4%0.6%
Evening36473.4%17.6%1.1%
Night24873.0%16.1%1.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to LAX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-LAX weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 89.0% of 309 flights. Sunday was lowest at 71.7% across 315 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday31577.1%12.1%0.3%
Tuesday30989.0%5.5%0.0%
Wednesday30083.3%9.7%0.0%
Thursday31282.7%8.7%0.0%
Friday31283.0%11.2%0.6%
Saturday29382.3%8.5%1.4%
Sunday31571.7%15.2%3.5%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to LAX?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-LAX airline threshold: 81.3% of 2,156 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines2,15681.3%10.2%0.8%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to LAX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-LAX month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 92.2% of 180 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 61.9% across 168 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202523178.8%14.7%0.0%
August 202520985.2%8.1%0.5%
September 202518092.2%4.4%0.0%
October 202518683.3%6.5%0.0%
November 202517681.2%12.5%0.6%
December 202516861.9%14.3%3.0%
January 202614379.0%13.3%0.7%
February 202613584.4%9.6%0.0%
March 202616985.2%5.9%3.6%
April 202617589.1%5.7%0.0%
May 202618577.8%13.0%1.1%
June 202619976.9%13.1%1.0%

What drove MSP to LAX delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-LAX delay category, accounting for 46.5% of 19,058 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline46.5%
Late aircraft26.4%
National airspace23.5%
Weather3.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.