BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→HNL

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Honolulu, HI (HNL) flight delay odds

81.1% of 365 official scheduled MSP-to-HNL flights arrived on time; 10.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.1%arrived on time
10.4%30+ min late
1.4%cancelled
365scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to HNL?

Only Late morning met the MSP-to-HNL departure window threshold: 81.1% of 365 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning36581.1%10.4%1.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to HNL?

Among qualifying MSP-to-HNL weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 86.5% of 52 flights. Saturday was lowest at 75.0% across 52 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5284.6%5.8%0.0%
Tuesday5384.9%9.4%0.0%
Wednesday5276.9%13.5%3.8%
Thursday5286.5%9.6%0.0%
Friday5280.8%11.5%1.9%
Saturday5275.0%15.4%0.0%
Sunday5278.8%7.7%3.8%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to HNL?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-HNL airline threshold: 81.1% of 365 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines36581.1%10.4%1.4%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to HNL?

Among qualifying MSP-to-HNL month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 93.5% of 31 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 48.4% across 31 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253177.4%6.5%6.5%
August 20253190.3%6.5%3.2%
September 20253093.3%3.3%0.0%
October 20253193.5%6.5%0.0%
November 20253086.7%13.3%0.0%
December 20253148.4%35.5%3.2%
January 20263167.7%19.4%0.0%
February 20262867.9%10.7%0.0%
March 20263171.0%16.1%3.2%
April 20263093.3%3.3%0.0%
May 20263193.5%3.2%0.0%
June 20263090.0%0.0%0.0%

What drove MSP to HNL delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-HNL delay category, accounting for 72.3% of 5,015 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline72.3%
Late aircraft3.4%
National airspace21.5%
Weather2.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.