BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSPDEN

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Denver, CO (DEN) flight delay odds

Historically, 76.8% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 5,838 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.8%arrived on time
14.3%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
5,838scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,44986.5%6.7%1.0%
Late morning1,27382.6%7.9%1.1%
Afternoon1,74275.3%16.0%0.7%
Evening1,03861.5%26.4%0.5%
Night33668.8%24.4%0.3%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday87778.0%13.9%0.7%
Tuesday81878.4%12.8%0.1%
Wednesday81576.3%13.0%0.4%
Thursday87275.9%16.2%0.3%
Friday88175.3%15.9%0.9%
Saturday70480.8%12.1%0.7%
Sunday87173.9%15.3%2.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,80475.1%15.0%0.9%
Southwest Airlines1,71275.2%15.4%0.5%
United Airlines1,45977.7%14.5%0.8%
Frontier Airlines61979.6%12.8%0.8%
SkyWest Airlines24489.3%2.5%2.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202557067.4%23.5%1.2%
August 202554975.6%14.8%0.4%
September 202552781.6%11.8%0.2%
October 202552979.8%11.2%0.4%
November 202546681.8%8.4%1.9%
December 202543961.3%23.5%0.7%
January 202640878.9%11.0%1.0%
February 202637881.0%13.0%0.0%
March 202646276.0%14.9%3.0%
April 202644088.6%5.7%0.2%
May 202653480.9%13.1%0.4%
June 202653671.5%17.9%0.4%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline31.1%
Late aircraft31.5%
National airspace34.6%
Weather2.7%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.