BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSPBZN

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Bozeman, MT (BZN) flight delay odds

Historically, 79.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 805 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.3%arrived on time
13.2%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
805scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning9391.4%5.4%0.0%
Late morning27082.6%11.5%0.4%
Afternoon9387.1%9.7%0.0%
Evening12369.9%17.1%0.8%
Night22672.1%17.7%0.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday11580.9%10.4%0.0%
Tuesday11886.4%8.5%0.0%
Wednesday11585.2%12.2%0.0%
Thursday11476.3%14.0%0.0%
Friday11583.5%13.9%0.0%
Saturday11476.3%12.3%0.9%
Sunday11465.8%21.1%2.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines80579.3%13.2%0.5%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259382.8%12.9%0.0%
August 20259185.7%9.9%0.0%
September 20256789.6%6.0%0.0%
October 20256290.3%6.5%0.0%
November 20255978.0%16.9%0.0%
December 20256254.8%24.2%1.6%
January 20264766.0%25.5%0.0%
February 20265669.6%16.1%0.0%
March 20266269.4%19.4%3.2%
April 20266090.0%6.7%0.0%
May 20266285.5%11.3%0.0%
June 20268479.8%9.5%1.2%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline50.1%
Late aircraft24.5%
National airspace20.3%
Weather5.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.