BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→BWI

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Baltimore, MD (BWI) flight delay odds

79.5% of 1,406 official scheduled MSP-to-BWI flights arrived on time; 12.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.5%arrived on time
12.8%30+ min late
1.3%cancelled
1,406scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to BWI?

Among qualifying MSP-to-BWI departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.0% of 450 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 69.0% across 316 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning45090.0%5.8%1.1%
Late morning19988.4%7.0%0.5%
Afternoon31669.0%18.0%1.3%
Evening44172.3%18.8%1.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to BWI?

Among qualifying MSP-to-BWI weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 88.6% of 210 flights. Sunday was lowest at 72.1% across 201 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday21679.2%12.5%1.4%
Tuesday21088.6%8.6%0.0%
Wednesday20483.3%9.3%0.5%
Thursday21273.1%17.9%0.0%
Friday21578.6%12.6%0.9%
Saturday14882.4%14.2%0.7%
Sunday20172.1%14.9%5.5%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to BWI?

Among qualifying MSP-to-BWI airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 80.2% of 918 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 78.3% across 488 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines91880.2%12.5%1.1%
Southwest Airlines48878.3%13.3%1.6%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to BWI?

Among qualifying MSP-to-BWI month results, November 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 88.1% of 109 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 63.6% across 143 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514363.6%24.5%0.7%
August 202513580.7%11.1%0.0%
September 202512986.0%7.8%0.0%
October 202512885.2%10.2%0.0%
November 202510988.1%8.3%0.9%
December 202511776.1%15.4%1.7%
January 20269078.9%12.2%4.4%
February 20267884.6%9.0%3.8%
March 202610669.8%17.0%3.8%
April 202611380.5%13.3%0.0%
May 202611883.9%8.5%0.0%
June 202614080.0%13.6%2.1%

What drove MSP to BWI delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-BWI delay category, accounting for 42.9% of 16,545 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline42.9%
Late aircraft29.4%
National airspace20.0%
Weather7.2%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.