BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSPATY

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Watertown, SD (ATY) flight delay odds

Historically, 85.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 334 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
85.6%arrived on time
8.7%30+ min late
1.8%cancelled
334scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Evening30585.6%8.5%1.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday4891.7%4.2%0.0%
Tuesday4879.2%16.7%0.0%
Wednesday4787.2%12.8%0.0%
Thursday4780.9%12.8%4.3%
Friday4887.5%2.1%2.1%
Saturday4883.3%6.2%4.2%
Sunday4889.6%6.2%2.1%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines33485.6%8.7%1.8%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
August 20253193.5%3.2%0.0%
September 202530100.0%0.0%0.0%
October 20253193.5%6.5%0.0%
November 20253083.3%16.7%0.0%
December 20253161.3%19.4%3.2%
January 20263177.4%12.9%3.2%
February 20262889.3%10.7%0.0%
March 20263177.4%6.5%12.9%
April 20263080.0%6.7%0.0%
May 20263196.8%3.2%0.0%
June 20263090.0%10.0%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline69.5%
Late aircraft0.0%
National airspace6.2%
Weather24.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.