BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSPANC

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Anchorage, AK (ANC) flight delay odds

Historically, 75.2% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 781 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
75.2%arrived on time
14.6%30+ min late
0.4%cancelled
781scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.0 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning13785.4%7.3%0.7%
Afternoon24572.2%16.7%0.4%
Evening12771.7%18.1%0.0%
Night24472.5%15.6%0.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday11165.8%18.9%0.0%
Tuesday11379.6%15.0%0.0%
Wednesday11076.4%14.5%0.0%
Thursday11179.3%10.8%1.8%
Friday11080.0%10.9%0.0%
Saturday11380.5%10.6%0.0%
Sunday11364.6%21.2%0.9%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines70673.8%15.4%0.3%
Alaska Airlines7588.0%6.7%1.3%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512475.8%15.3%0.0%
August 202511590.4%4.3%0.0%
September 20256885.3%11.8%0.0%
October 20256186.9%4.9%0.0%
November 20255782.5%12.3%0.0%
December 20255837.9%32.8%1.7%
January 20264856.2%25.0%0.0%
February 20262882.1%17.9%0.0%
March 20263164.5%22.6%3.2%
April 20263086.7%13.3%0.0%
May 20265653.6%28.6%0.0%
June 202610579.0%8.6%1.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline58.7%
Late aircraft18.2%
National airspace21.3%
Weather1.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.