BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→ANC

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Anchorage, AK (ANC) flight delay odds

75.2% of 781 official scheduled MSP-to-ANC flights arrived on time; 14.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
75.2%arrived on time
14.6%30+ min late
0.4%cancelled
781scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to ANC?

Among qualifying MSP-to-ANC departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 85.4% of 137 flights. Evening was lowest at 71.7% across 127 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning13785.4%7.3%0.7%
Afternoon24572.2%16.7%0.4%
Evening12771.7%18.1%0.0%
Night24472.5%15.6%0.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to ANC?

Among qualifying MSP-to-ANC weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 80.5% of 113 flights. Sunday was lowest at 64.6% across 113 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday11165.8%18.9%0.0%
Tuesday11379.6%15.0%0.0%
Wednesday11076.4%14.5%0.0%
Thursday11179.3%10.8%1.8%
Friday11080.0%10.9%0.0%
Saturday11380.5%10.6%0.0%
Sunday11364.6%21.2%0.9%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to ANC?

Among qualifying MSP-to-ANC airline results, Alaska Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 88.0% of 75 flights. Delta Air Lines was lowest at 73.8% across 706 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines70673.8%15.4%0.3%
Alaska Airlines7588.0%6.7%1.3%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to ANC?

Among qualifying MSP-to-ANC month results, August 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.4% of 115 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 37.9% across 58 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512475.8%15.3%0.0%
August 202511590.4%4.3%0.0%
September 20256885.3%11.8%0.0%
October 20256186.9%4.9%0.0%
November 20255782.5%12.3%0.0%
December 20255837.9%32.8%1.7%
January 20264856.2%25.0%0.0%
February 20262882.1%17.9%0.0%
March 20263164.5%22.6%3.2%
April 20263086.7%13.3%0.0%
May 20265653.6%28.6%0.0%
June 202610579.0%8.6%1.0%

What drove MSP to ANC delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-ANC delay category, accounting for 58.7% of 14,511 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline58.7%
Late aircraft18.2%
National airspace21.3%
Weather1.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.