BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSNMSP

Madison, WI (MSN) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

Historically, 82.2% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,104 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.2%arrived on time
12.1%30+ min late
1.1%cancelled
1,104scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning35889.4%7.8%1.1%
Late morning25085.6%7.6%0.8%
Afternoon32574.2%17.5%1.2%
Evening17177.2%17.5%1.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday16282.1%12.3%1.2%
Tuesday16584.2%9.7%0.0%
Wednesday16180.7%13.7%0.6%
Thursday15981.1%13.8%0.6%
Friday15777.7%17.2%1.9%
Saturday14686.3%7.5%2.1%
Sunday15483.1%10.4%1.3%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines74778.4%14.6%1.1%
Delta Air Lines35789.9%7.0%1.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259388.2%8.6%0.0%
August 202512181.0%14.0%0.0%
September 202512080.8%12.5%0.0%
October 202511889.0%7.6%0.0%
November 20258883.0%9.1%3.4%
December 20255867.2%27.6%1.7%
January 20265381.1%15.1%0.0%
February 20265773.7%19.3%0.0%
March 20266274.2%14.5%6.5%
April 20269686.5%8.3%2.1%
May 202611984.9%10.1%1.7%
June 202611982.4%10.9%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline72.5%
Late aircraft2.1%
National airspace7.6%
Weather17.4%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.