BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MLI→ORD

Moline, IL (MLI) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

68.0% of 2,191 official scheduled MLI-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 20.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
68.0%arrived on time
20.0%30+ min late
4.9%cancelled
2,191scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late13.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+20.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MLI to ORD?

Among qualifying MLI-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 77.6% of 675 flights. Evening was lowest at 54.5% across 527 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning67577.6%13.5%3.3%
Late morning54471.9%18.4%3.9%
Afternoon44564.5%24.0%3.1%
Evening52754.5%26.6%9.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for MLI to ORD?

Among qualifying MLI-to-ORD weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 75.7% of 309 flights. Friday was lowest at 63.3% across 313 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday31964.9%23.8%6.0%
Tuesday30975.7%13.9%4.2%
Wednesday31369.0%18.5%6.1%
Thursday32073.8%14.4%4.1%
Friday31363.3%24.9%3.2%
Saturday29365.9%19.8%6.5%
Sunday32463.3%24.4%4.3%

Which airline was most reliable for MLI to ORD?

Among qualifying MLI-to-ORD airline results, Envoy Air had the highest on-time rate: 72.1% of 624 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 66.3% across 1,557 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,55766.3%20.6%5.6%
Envoy Air62472.1%18.3%3.2%
Republic Airways1060.0%30.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MLI to ORD?

Among qualifying MLI-to-ORD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 84.1% of 164 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 58.2% across 182 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514762.6%27.2%4.1%
August 202515770.7%14.6%4.5%
September 202516484.1%7.3%0.0%
October 202519069.5%21.1%0.0%
November 202523665.7%17.4%10.6%
December 202518258.2%30.2%6.0%
January 202612564.0%26.4%3.2%
February 202613661.0%27.2%0.7%
March 202619660.2%21.4%10.2%
April 202624768.4%19.4%7.7%
May 202624875.0%18.1%0.8%
June 202616373.0%13.5%7.4%

What drove MLI to ORD delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MLI-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 36.9% of 60,473 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline33.2%
Late aircraft36.9%
National airspace20.8%
Weather9.1%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.