BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MLIORD

Moline, IL (MLI) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

Historically, 68.0% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,191 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
68.0%arrived on time
20.0%30+ min late
4.9%cancelled
2,191scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late13.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+20.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning67577.6%13.5%3.3%
Late morning54471.9%18.4%3.9%
Afternoon44564.5%24.0%3.1%
Evening52754.5%26.6%9.5%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday31964.9%23.8%6.0%
Tuesday30975.7%13.9%4.2%
Wednesday31369.0%18.5%6.1%
Thursday32073.8%14.4%4.1%
Friday31363.3%24.9%3.2%
Saturday29365.9%19.8%6.5%
Sunday32463.3%24.4%4.3%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,55766.3%20.6%5.6%
Envoy Air62472.1%18.3%3.2%
Republic Airways1060.0%30.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514762.6%27.2%4.1%
August 202515770.7%14.6%4.5%
September 202516484.1%7.3%0.0%
October 202519069.5%21.1%0.0%
November 202523665.7%17.4%10.6%
December 202518258.2%30.2%6.0%
January 202612564.0%26.4%3.2%
February 202613661.0%27.2%0.7%
March 202619660.2%21.4%10.2%
April 202624768.4%19.4%7.7%
May 202624875.0%18.1%0.8%
June 202616373.0%13.5%7.4%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline33.2%
Late aircraft36.9%
National airspace20.8%
Weather9.1%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.