BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MIA→MDW

Miami, FL (MIA) to Chicago, IL (MDW) flight delay odds

69.9% of 511 official scheduled MIA-to-MDW flights arrived on time; 17.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
69.9%arrived on time
17.0%30+ min late
1.8%cancelled
511scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.7 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MIA to MDW?

Among qualifying MIA-to-MDW departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.1% of 170 flights. Evening was lowest at 47.1% across 87 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning17084.1%7.1%3.5%
Late morning5877.6%15.5%0.0%
Afternoon19465.5%18.0%0.5%
Evening8747.1%35.6%2.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for MIA to MDW?

Among qualifying MIA-to-MDW weekday results, Monday had the highest on-time rate: 76.9% of 78 flights. Saturday was lowest at 59.6% across 109 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday7876.9%14.1%1.3%
Tuesday4170.7%4.9%4.9%
Wednesday4475.0%9.1%0.0%
Thursday7574.7%12.0%1.3%
Friday7573.3%16.0%1.3%
Saturday10959.6%22.0%3.7%
Sunday8966.3%28.1%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for MIA to MDW?

Among qualifying MIA-to-MDW airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 76.6% of 64 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 68.9% across 447 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines44768.9%17.4%1.8%
Frontier Airlines6476.6%14.1%1.6%

Which month was most reliable for MIA to MDW?

Among qualifying MIA-to-MDW month results, July 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 89.7% of 39 flights. February 2026 was lowest at 57.9% across 38 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253989.7%5.1%2.6%
August 20252958.6%24.1%0.0%
September 20252584.0%8.0%0.0%
October 20252475.0%16.7%0.0%
November 20253974.4%7.7%7.7%
December 20254564.4%22.2%2.2%
January 20265178.4%13.7%2.0%
February 20263857.9%21.1%0.0%
March 20267960.8%25.3%2.5%
April 20265869.0%10.3%1.7%
May 20265369.8%20.8%0.0%
June 20263167.7%22.6%0.0%

What drove MIA to MDW delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MIA-to-MDW delay category, accounting for 41.6% of 8,327 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline41.6%
Late aircraft32.8%
National airspace22.0%
Weather3.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.