BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MHKORD

Manhattan/Ft. Riley, KS (MHK) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

Historically, 73.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 604 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
73.5%arrived on time
16.4%30+ min late
3.5%cancelled
604scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning30180.4%11.6%2.7%
Afternoon14865.5%25.0%3.4%
Evening11770.9%14.5%5.1%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8769.0%18.4%4.6%
Tuesday8979.8%13.5%2.2%
Wednesday8577.6%12.9%3.5%
Thursday8670.9%20.9%2.3%
Friday8571.8%16.5%3.5%
Saturday8576.5%11.8%3.5%
Sunday8769.0%20.7%4.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines31368.7%19.5%3.8%
Envoy Air29178.7%13.1%3.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256165.6%23.0%1.6%
August 20253871.1%10.5%5.3%
September 20253093.3%6.7%0.0%
October 20255669.6%17.9%0.0%
November 20255972.9%11.9%8.5%
December 20256058.3%35.0%3.3%
January 20263764.9%21.6%5.4%
February 20264582.2%13.3%0.0%
March 20266271.0%14.5%1.6%
April 20266076.7%11.7%6.7%
May 20266288.7%9.7%1.6%
June 20263476.5%14.7%8.8%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline51.4%
Late aircraft26.6%
National airspace16.0%
Weather5.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.