BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MFR→SEA

Medford, OR (MFR) to Seattle, WA (SEA) flight delay odds

89.7% of 1,244 official scheduled MFR-to-SEA flights arrived on time; 6.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
89.7%arrived on time
6.1%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
1,244scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-4.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MFR to SEA?

Among qualifying MFR-to-SEA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 95.4% of 366 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 79.4% across 180 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36695.4%2.7%0.5%
Late morning25088.4%4.8%2.4%
Afternoon18079.4%12.2%1.7%
Evening44890.0%7.1%0.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for MFR to SEA?

Among qualifying MFR-to-SEA weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 95.4% of 173 flights. Monday was lowest at 86.5% across 185 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18586.5%9.2%0.5%
Tuesday18790.9%4.3%0.5%
Wednesday17395.4%1.7%0.6%
Thursday18589.7%6.5%2.7%
Friday18386.9%7.7%2.2%
Saturday16091.9%5.6%0.0%
Sunday17187.1%7.6%1.8%

Which airline was most reliable for MFR to SEA?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the MFR-to-SEA airline threshold: 89.7% of 1,244 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,24489.7%6.1%1.2%

Which month was most reliable for MFR to SEA?

Among qualifying MFR-to-SEA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 98.9% of 90 flights. January 2026 was lowest at 80.2% across 101 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259292.4%4.3%0.0%
August 20259193.4%5.5%0.0%
September 20259098.9%0.0%0.0%
October 20259692.7%5.2%0.0%
November 20259984.8%6.1%6.1%
December 20259789.7%5.2%1.0%
January 202610180.2%13.9%5.0%
February 20269594.7%4.2%0.0%
March 202611487.7%7.0%2.6%
April 202610993.6%2.8%0.0%
May 202613186.3%8.4%0.0%
June 202612986.0%8.5%0.0%

What drove MFR to SEA delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MFR-to-SEA delay category, accounting for 53.1% of 8,599 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline53.1%
Late aircraft7.2%
National airspace6.0%
Weather33.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.