BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
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MEM→ORD

Memphis, TN (MEM) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

73.2% of 2,473 official scheduled MEM-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 15.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
73.2%arrived on time
15.6%30+ min late
3.2%cancelled
2,473scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MEM to ORD?

Among qualifying MEM-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 82.8% of 773 flights. Evening was lowest at 57.4% across 408 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning77382.8%7.4%2.6%
Late morning69179.6%12.2%1.4%
Afternoon60064.3%24.0%2.7%
Evening40857.4%25.0%7.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for MEM to ORD?

Among qualifying MEM-to-ORD weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 77.8% of 352 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.5% across 366 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday36672.4%15.6%4.1%
Tuesday35171.5%17.9%1.7%
Wednesday33776.3%13.4%2.4%
Thursday35277.8%12.5%2.6%
Friday35572.1%18.9%2.0%
Saturday34675.4%15.0%4.3%
Sunday36667.5%16.1%4.9%

Which airline was most reliable for MEM to ORD?

Among qualifying MEM-to-ORD airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 80.4% of 332 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 71.0% across 835 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines83571.0%18.7%2.3%
Envoy Air82174.4%14.6%3.0%
Republic Airways46872.0%15.8%4.7%
United Airlines33280.4%7.5%3.6%
American Airlines1717.6%70.6%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MEM to ORD?

Among qualifying MEM-to-ORD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 85.0% of 187 flights. January 2026 was lowest at 57.8% across 185 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520872.6%17.8%0.0%
August 202522174.7%15.8%2.3%
September 202518785.0%7.0%0.0%
October 202520182.6%7.5%0.5%
November 202520465.7%20.6%6.4%
December 202520269.3%17.8%2.5%
January 202618557.8%22.2%10.3%
February 202618582.2%10.3%0.5%
March 202619672.4%14.8%5.6%
April 202623972.4%18.0%3.8%
May 202620480.4%11.8%1.0%
June 202624165.6%22.0%5.0%

What drove MEM to ORD delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MEM-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 38.1% of 45,106 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline24.7%
Late aircraft38.1%
National airspace30.2%
Weather7.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.