BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MEM→MCO

Memphis, TN (MEM) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

75.6% of 770 official scheduled MEM-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 11.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
75.6%arrived on time
11.8%30+ min late
2.7%cancelled
770scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MEM to MCO?

Among qualifying MEM-to-MCO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.3% of 309 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 55.4% across 121 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning30990.3%3.6%1.3%
Late morning16376.7%10.4%6.1%
Afternoon12155.4%22.3%2.5%
Evening17662.5%20.5%2.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for MEM to MCO?

Among qualifying MEM-to-MCO weekday results, Friday had the highest on-time rate: 84.9% of 106 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.6% across 139 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10473.1%10.6%4.8%
Tuesday8883.0%11.4%0.0%
Wednesday8078.8%10.0%2.5%
Thursday11371.7%15.9%0.9%
Friday10684.9%5.7%0.9%
Saturday14075.0%10.7%5.0%
Sunday13967.6%16.5%3.6%

Which airline was most reliable for MEM to MCO?

Among qualifying MEM-to-MCO airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 75.7% of 444 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 75.5% across 326 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines44475.7%10.8%2.3%
Spirit Airlines32675.5%13.2%3.4%

Which month was most reliable for MEM to MCO?

Among qualifying MEM-to-MCO month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 90.0% of 60 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 60.5% across 38 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258166.7%21.0%0.0%
August 20256066.7%16.7%0.0%
September 20256786.6%6.0%0.0%
October 20259276.1%14.1%1.1%
November 20255687.5%8.9%0.0%
December 20257382.2%5.5%2.7%
January 20266981.2%5.8%8.7%
February 20266090.0%3.3%1.7%
March 20267061.4%14.3%11.4%
April 20266274.2%12.9%3.2%
May 20264269.0%11.9%0.0%
June 20263860.5%23.7%2.6%

What drove MEM to MCO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MEM-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 38.8% of 10,549 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline27.4%
Late aircraft38.8%
National airspace31.4%
Weather2.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.