BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MEM→BNA

Memphis, TN (MEM) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

74.4% of 484 official scheduled MEM-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 13.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.4%arrived on time
13.8%30+ min late
0.4%cancelled
484scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MEM to BNA?

Among qualifying MEM-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 91.6% of 119 flights. Evening was lowest at 58.0% across 50 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning11991.6%2.5%0.0%
Afternoon28370.0%16.6%0.7%
Evening5058.0%26.0%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for MEM to BNA?

Among qualifying MEM-to-BNA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 84.3% of 70 flights. Sunday was lowest at 65.7% across 70 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday6972.5%18.8%0.0%
Tuesday7084.3%7.1%0.0%
Wednesday6877.9%8.8%0.0%
Thursday6972.5%17.4%0.0%
Friday6966.7%21.7%0.0%
Saturday6981.2%5.8%1.4%
Sunday7065.7%17.1%1.4%

Which airline was most reliable for MEM to BNA?

Only Southwest Airlines met the MEM-to-BNA airline threshold: 74.4% of 484 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines48474.4%13.8%0.4%

Which month was most reliable for MEM to BNA?

Among qualifying MEM-to-BNA month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 100.0% of 28 flights. November 2025 was lowest at 56.2% across 32 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253171.0%12.9%0.0%
August 20253171.0%19.4%0.0%
September 20253083.3%0.0%0.0%
October 20253174.2%12.9%0.0%
November 20253256.2%21.9%0.0%
December 20253164.5%19.4%0.0%
January 20263187.1%3.2%6.5%
February 202628100.0%0.0%0.0%
March 20265887.9%8.6%0.0%
April 20266076.7%16.7%0.0%
May 20266160.7%23.0%0.0%
June 20266068.3%16.7%0.0%

What drove MEM to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MEM-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 54.4% of 6,187 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline17.3%
Late aircraft54.4%
National airspace27.6%
Weather0.7%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.