BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MDWRIC

Chicago, IL (MDW) to Richmond, VA (RIC) flight delay odds

Historically, 74.0% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 411 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.0%arrived on time
13.6%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
411scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning12684.9%4.0%0.8%
Afternoon20378.8%8.4%1.0%
Evening7745.5%40.3%2.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday6177.0%13.1%0.0%
Tuesday5377.4%13.2%0.0%
Wednesday5282.7%9.6%0.0%
Thursday6071.7%13.3%3.3%
Friday6076.7%10.0%1.7%
Saturday5377.4%11.3%1.9%
Sunday7259.7%22.2%1.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines41174.0%13.6%1.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255166.7%21.6%2.0%
August 20253878.9%7.9%0.0%
September 20253488.2%2.9%0.0%
October 20253588.6%5.7%0.0%
November 20252979.3%13.8%3.4%
December 20253167.7%16.1%0.0%
January 20262788.9%0.0%3.7%
February 20262491.7%0.0%0.0%
March 20263161.3%12.9%3.2%
April 20263086.7%3.3%0.0%
May 20263151.6%25.8%0.0%
June 20265056.0%34.0%2.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline34.0%
Late aircraft47.4%
National airspace18.0%
Weather0.7%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.