BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MDW→ORF

Chicago, IL (MDW) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

72.1% of 574 official scheduled MDW-to-ORF flights arrived on time; 17.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.1%arrived on time
17.2%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
574scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MDW to ORF?

Among qualifying MDW-to-ORF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 95.0% of 40 flights. Evening was lowest at 66.6% across 302 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning4095.0%2.5%0.0%
Late morning10681.1%12.3%1.9%
Afternoon12670.6%14.3%1.6%
Evening30266.6%22.2%0.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MDW to ORF?

Among qualifying MDW-to-ORF weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 81.5% of 65 flights. Thursday was lowest at 63.9% across 83 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8667.4%23.3%0.0%
Tuesday8779.3%9.2%0.0%
Wednesday8275.6%15.9%0.0%
Thursday8363.9%22.9%1.2%
Friday8570.6%18.8%0.0%
Saturday6581.5%7.7%6.2%
Sunday8668.6%20.9%1.2%

Which airline was most reliable for MDW to ORF?

Only Southwest Airlines met the MDW-to-ORF airline threshold: 72.1% of 574 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines57472.1%17.2%1.0%

Which month was most reliable for MDW to ORF?

Among qualifying MDW-to-ORF month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 87.9% of 58 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 55.7% across 88 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258855.7%31.8%2.3%
August 20256170.5%19.7%0.0%
September 20255682.1%12.5%0.0%
October 20255887.9%6.9%0.0%
November 20253582.9%8.6%5.7%
December 20254276.2%14.3%0.0%
January 20263080.0%6.7%0.0%
February 20262785.2%11.1%0.0%
March 20263171.0%9.7%3.2%
April 20263180.6%16.1%0.0%
May 20263161.3%22.6%0.0%
June 20268460.7%22.6%1.2%

What drove MDW to ORF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MDW-to-ORF delay category, accounting for 43.4% of 9,453 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline39.7%
Late aircraft43.4%
National airspace15.1%
Weather0.5%
Security1.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.