BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MDWMSY

Chicago, IL (MDW) to New Orleans, LA (MSY) flight delay odds

Historically, 73.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,017 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.3%arrived on time
15.2%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
1,017scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning30285.4%6.0%0.7%
Late morning8481.0%10.7%1.2%
Afternoon26466.3%20.5%0.4%
Evening21373.7%16.4%1.4%
Night15456.5%25.3%3.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14670.5%17.8%1.4%
Tuesday13585.2%10.4%0.0%
Wednesday13080.8%12.3%0.8%
Thursday14468.1%17.4%2.1%
Friday15068.0%16.0%0.7%
Saturday13082.3%9.2%2.3%
Sunday18263.2%20.9%1.1%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,01773.3%15.2%1.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259755.7%30.9%1.0%
August 20258672.1%12.8%1.2%
September 20258179.0%11.1%0.0%
October 20259778.4%16.5%0.0%
November 20257982.3%11.4%3.8%
December 20257973.4%13.9%0.0%
January 20266687.9%7.6%0.0%
February 20266684.8%9.1%0.0%
March 20269373.1%15.1%3.2%
April 20269174.7%8.8%2.2%
May 20269267.4%17.4%0.0%
June 20269060.0%22.2%2.2%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline35.1%
Late aircraft51.6%
National airspace11.8%
Weather0.8%
Security0.7%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.