BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MDW→DFW

Chicago, IL (MDW) to Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (DFW) flight delay odds

69.2% of 292 official scheduled MDW-to-DFW flights arrived on time; 24.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
69.2%arrived on time
24.0%30+ min late
1.7%cancelled
292scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late15.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late8.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+19.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MDW to DFW?

Among qualifying MDW-to-DFW departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 77.5% of 89 flights. Evening was lowest at 63.2% across 68 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning8977.5%15.7%2.2%
Late morning4170.7%17.1%2.4%
Afternoon7665.8%27.6%1.3%
Evening6863.2%30.9%1.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for MDW to DFW?

Among qualifying MDW-to-DFW weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 83.0% of 47 flights. Saturday was lowest at 57.9% across 38 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5972.9%22.0%1.7%
Thursday4783.0%14.9%0.0%
Friday5974.6%16.9%1.7%
Saturday3857.9%36.8%2.6%
Sunday5060.0%30.0%4.0%

Which airline was most reliable for MDW to DFW?

Only Frontier Airlines met the MDW-to-DFW airline threshold: 69.2% of 292 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Frontier Airlines29269.2%24.0%1.7%

Which month was most reliable for MDW to DFW?

Among qualifying MDW-to-DFW month results, August 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 84.0% of 25 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 50.0% across 20 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253177.4%22.6%0.0%
August 20252584.0%12.0%0.0%
September 20253080.0%16.7%0.0%
October 20253372.7%18.2%0.0%
November 20253256.2%34.4%3.1%
December 20252075.0%15.0%5.0%
February 20261675.0%18.8%0.0%
March 20262050.0%45.0%0.0%
April 20261963.2%26.3%5.3%
May 20263073.3%20.0%3.3%
June 20262352.2%43.5%0.0%

What drove MDW to DFW delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MDW-to-DFW delay category, accounting for 39.1% of 8,677 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline17.8%
Late aircraft39.1%
National airspace29.9%
Weather13.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.