BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCOSAT

Orlando, FL (MCO) to San Antonio, TX (SAT) flight delay odds

Historically, 73.0% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,114 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.0%arrived on time
16.2%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
1,114scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.9 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning25394.9%1.6%0.0%
Late morning22280.6%10.4%3.6%
Afternoon18067.2%23.9%0.0%
Evening34360.3%25.4%0.3%
Night11656.9%20.7%6.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17970.4%16.8%1.1%
Tuesday13575.6%14.1%0.7%
Wednesday12677.8%15.1%0.8%
Thursday16575.2%12.7%2.4%
Friday17774.6%17.5%0.6%
Saturday16767.7%19.8%2.4%
Sunday16571.5%17.0%2.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines76273.2%16.3%0.3%
Spirit Airlines25370.0%17.4%5.9%
Frontier Airlines9978.8%13.1%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512969.0%20.9%0.0%
August 20258172.8%22.2%0.0%
September 20256786.6%6.0%0.0%
October 20258567.1%20.0%1.2%
November 202510478.8%13.5%0.0%
December 202511275.0%17.0%0.9%
January 20268665.1%11.6%5.8%
February 20268869.3%15.9%5.7%
March 202611776.1%9.4%3.4%
April 20269078.9%15.6%1.1%
May 20266377.8%12.7%0.0%
June 20269263.0%27.2%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline31.6%
Late aircraft44.2%
National airspace13.8%
Weather10.4%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.